There comes a time with every trial when it’s time to call it a day.
But it’s not always easy to pinpoint when that moment should be.
Sometimes it’s obvious. Particularly when a product has failed miserably.
I shall spare the blushes of those responsible by mentioning no names at this point.
But I digress.
My point is, with products that deliver modest profits, there is always the temptation to trial for just a little bit longer.
So it has been with Winningmore’s Steamer Drifter Bot.
But I realise now, I have kicked the can down the road for so long, I’ve run out of road.
We are standing at a major junction, dear reader.
In one direction, there is a sign pointing towards a Neutral rating. But straight ahead, there is another, bearing the word, “PASSED”.
So which road shall we finally take?
Read on to find out….
For all my doubts, it’s actually been a very consistent trial.
Month #1 proved to be a false start, as I had a problem with the software that necessitated a bug fix and a re-download… so month #2 became the new month #1.
Month #2 then produced divergent results – meaning, backing steamers did well but laying drifters didn’t – so I abandoned the latter and concentrated, for the rest of the trial, on the former.
Matters went sideways in month #3 — specifically, we made money in the first half then gave it all back in the second — but we got back to winning ways in month #4, with a shade over 10 points’ profit.
And in month #5?
Well, once again, I banked a small profit.
This time, it was 9.4 points, so.. a fraction less than in month #4.
The overall performance summary for the trial now looks like this:
|Overall Totals – New Settings||months 2 & 3||Month #4||Month #5||Total|
|Total Profit – Back Only||£56.61||£16.44||£14.03||£73.05|
|No. of markets traded||883||218||354||1455|
|No. of winning trades||338||79||136||553|
|Points’ Profit – Back Only||37.73||10.96||9.4||58.04|
|points per market traded||0.043||0.05||0.026||0.04|
You can download the complete results log for month #5 by clicking here.
I wish all my trials made 58 points’ profit – especially with no effort whatsoever required from me.
I don’t have to locate the best odds, log on to bookie sites, place bets – or anything.
I am making money simply by opening a piece of software and letting it run on my computer!
On the other hand, it’s not often that we run a trial across 1,455 markets. so our total profit equates to a return of just 0.04 points per market.
Meaning, I have to trade 25 markets just to make a single point’s profit.
Which is why, month after month, I have kept asking myself… Is the profit margin too narrow for me to be able to award a Pass mark?
And I’ve kept postponing the verdict, hoping that another month’s data will deliver a clearer outcome.
But instead, what’s happened is something quite unexpected. I just keep making a little bit more money each month.
And this, I think, is the point.
The tool’s performance has been extremely consistent. For confirmation, just look at that strike rate!
We did have a very slight blip in month #4, when we achieved a rate 1.8% below the long-run level, but generally we have hovered around the 38% mark.
Contrast that with your average human tipster who, in my experience, is far more likely to deliver a feast-and-famine experience, and thereby test your nerves more. (A good example is the ongoing Each-Way Earners trial, the performance of which has yo-yoed up and down, putting triallist John through the proverbial wringer).
I feel confident that the bot will steadily deliver winners at the same kind of level, month after month, so that, in turn, gives me a pretty high level of confidence that I will continue to bank steady profits.
I haven’t got the drifter option to work yet and maybe I never will – but frankly, who cares?
After a while, you just forget about it. It sits in the background on my computer and keeps doing its thing.
Once you’ve keyed in the settings you wish to use, firing it off each day is the work of a few seconds.
And then, at the end of the month, you typically find you’ve quietly banked a few points’ profit.
Seriously, how can I not like this?
I have set the thing up to trade every selected horse in both the Win and Place markets (1 point in each), though you can opt for Win or Place only if you prefer.
Naturally, if you go for a different option to me, you’ll get a different strike rate.
You can learn more about this remarkable piece of betting software here.