Hi there, Paulo here with the first report on my brand new trial of …. Football Bank Builder!
(And if you’ve never heard of Football Bank Builder, you may like to read Lucy’s introductory remarks about it before returning here).
I was in fact meaning only to do my first report after one month, but as I was so kindly asked by Lucy, how could I refuse?!
(By the way… my arm still aches!! >:( ).
And this trial certainly looks an interesting exercise!
After just one week, we don’t yet have much data to work with. In fact, we’ve just reached 20 bets so far. Which is more or less what is to be expected each week, if we follow the system’s recommendations!
As I said in my comment on the opening post, I’m working with three separate banks for three staking plans: one starting at 20 units, and two of 176 units each! Not 352 units as I said there… that was my mistake, as this comes to 372 units.. But the FBB manual recommends £352 for a minimum starting bank, which equates to 176 units of £2, obviously.
So, Is Football Bank Builder Easy To Use?
So far, selections have proved to be quick and easy to find! And with rules as simple as these, there is no room for subjectivity! Either a game is eligible.. or it is not!
However, things become a bit more complicated if you are not able to monitor the odds closer to the off. They can have quite significant movements which can lead to a match becoming not eligible for the system.
Another point to make is: As we operate two recovery staking plans, a match must come to an end before we can bet in the next one. Unless, our bet is already closed during the game. Which, as it happens, is a pretty frequent event!
Football Bank Builder proposes a solution for this. However, for the purpose of our trial, I’ll stick to the simpler solution and just place bets after knowing the previous one result!
Of course, on days with fewer football games to search through, it may be difficult to find three of them between the boundaries of the system’s criteria that don’t overlap in time. That’s why there are days with just one or two bets.
So, what about the results?! What have we found so far?
Well… Surprisingly, things started nicely with two wins! But then, just when I though Football Bank Builder had escaped Lucy’s New Triallist’s Curse, we had six losses in a run! Just to test our stomach, of course! And the recovery plans… those too…
Which was a bit scary, I can tell you, seeing those bets escalating at an alarming rate. 🙁
But one must trust a system designer who has already proved himself in the past. And things eventually came to our side. Thanks to Mr. Kayabasi, who scored for Balikesirspor right before half-time!
Yes, we also bet on those games between teams whose names one cannot spell correctly! After all, they are not on the exempt list from Football Bank Builder, are they?! 🙂
Since then, there have been no more loooooong losing runs, But no winning runs either.
That’s why our strike rate looks so miserable right now!… After 20 bets we won 7! Just 35%!! 🙁
Which of course is not good for our flat stakes bank!
And we need a strike rate of 47% to make a small profit if the average odds of our bets are 1.82 (as claimed by the system’s author). We have achieved a slightly lower odds average, but with a not yet significant number of bets.
The good news is: Even with such a lousy strike rate, our Fibonacci and 2 Steps Back banks are holding up firmly! But thats what they were devised for… right? 🙂
|Football Bank Builder|
|DD/ MM||Odd||Stake||At Risk||Res||Profit||Live bank||Stake||At Risk||Profit||Live bank||Stake||At Risk||Profit||Live bank|
|Flat Stakes||Fibonacci||2 steps back|
|New Balance||16.9||New Balance||177.5||New Balance||191.9|
|%age Bank Growth||-15%||%age Bank Growth||1%||%age Bank Growth||9%|
|No of bets placed||20.0|
|Avg. price of Winners||1.8|
Overall, the three banks have us 14 units up!! Which is much better than I expected, considering that I believe the strike rate will eventually improve to over 40% for sure!
And summarizing our first week, we had 20 bets, winning 7 of them!
We had a loss of -3.08 units at flat stakes (bank lost 15.4%), but a profit of 1.5 units using the Fibonacci staking plan (bank up 0.85%), and a very nice profit of 15.91 units using the “2 steps back” staking plan (bank up 9.04%)!
In total, we had a profit of 14.33 units and a global bank winning 3.85%.
Not bad for one week, uh?
Now, if only it keeps this way from now on… 😉
And that’s it for today!
I’ll be back early in December with my next report on Football Bank Builder. If I manage to keep my arms out of danger, that is… 😛