DG Tips – Month #3 – Better!

You can get a sense of how our trials are going here at Lay Back just from the titles of my articles.

Take DG Tips, for instance.

My first monthly progress report was entitled, “DG Tips – Month #1 – Wow!“.

No prizes for guessing that that one told a very upbeat story.

Sadly, the following update carried a very different title: “DG Tips – Month #2 – Ouch!

As you might expect, this one told a story of squandered winnings and drifting into debt. :-(

Inevitably, therefore, I entered month #3 with some trepidation.

Would I experience another great winning run, as at the start?

Or should I expect further doom and gloom?

Read on to find out…

(If, however, you’re unfamiliar with DG Tips, you may prefer to have a read of my opening article and earlier progress updates before returning here for the latest twist in the tale).

DG Tips
DG Tips (NOT a brand of tea)

Fortunately, it’s been a much better month but we remain in the red for the trial as a whole.

It’s frustrating really because, on their own, the month #3 performance figures are satisfactory:

DG Tips – Month 3 Advised Prices Price taken Betfair SP
Profit £ 207.24 £ 50.97 £ 101.07
       
New Bank £ 651.69 £ 260.81 £ 251.20
       
%age bank Growth 46.63% 24.29% 67.32%
Wins(races w/ profit) 37 34 33
Bets 96 96 96
Strike rate(races w/ profit) 38.54% 35.42% 34.38%
ROI 21.48% 5.28% 10.47%

Unfortunately, when you add these numbers to the brought forward figures for months #1 and #2, the overall story remains grim.

We kicked off the trial with three betting banks of £500 each and tracked performance at:

  • prices advised by the tipster
  • odds obtained in the live marketplace
  • Betfair SP, allowing 5% for winner’s commission.

And this is where we’ve got to after just over 250 bets:

DG Tips – Whole Trial Advised Prices Price taken Betfair SP
Profit £ 151.69 (£ 239.20) (£ 248.80)
       
New Bank £ 651.69 £ 260.81 £ 251.20
       
%age bank Growth 30.34% -47.84% -49.76%
Wins(races w/ profit) 84 76 72
Bets 254 254 254
Strike rate(races w/ profit) 33.07% 29.92% 28.35%
ROI 5.88% -9.27% -9.64%

The results log for month #3 tell a mixed story that was saved by a great run near the end.

Five winners from six bets on 2nd May lifted a difficult month firmly into the black and supplied some much-needed cheer.

Date Racecourse Selection  Pts. Advised price Price taken Each-Way? Result Profit @ advised price Profit @ price taken Profit @ Betfair SP
08-Apr Aintree No Hassle Hoff 0.50 8.00 4.50 YES PLACED £ 2.00 (£ 1.50) (£ 0.16)
08-Apr Lingfield Estibaad 0.50 6.50 5.50 YES LOST (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00)
08-Apr Aintree Starchitect 0.50 7.50 7.50 YES PLACED £ 3.13 £ 3.13 £ 2.13
08-Apr Aintree Blaklion 0.50 13.00 15.00 YES PLACED £ 10.00 £ 12.50 £ 14.00
08-Apr Aintree Just A Par 0.50 51.00 51.00 YES LOST (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00)
14-Apr Newcastle Deansgate 0.50 13.00 11.00 YES LOST (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00)
14-Apr Newcastle Gaelic Tiger 0.50 3.75 5.50 NO LOST (£ 5.00) (£ 5.00) (£ 5.00)
15-Apr Kempton Eljaddaaf 1.00 8.50 7.50 YES LOST (£ 20.00) (£ 20.00) (£ 20.00)
15-Apr Musselburgh Royal Brave 0.50 8.00 5.00 YES WON-EW £ 42.00 £ 24.00 £ 25.51
15-Apr Kempton Endless Acres 1.00 4.00 4.00 NO LOST (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00)
17-Apr Wolverhampton Invincible Ridge 0.50 9.00 6.50 YES WON-EW £ 48.00 £ 33.00 £ 32.87
17-Apr Wolverhampton Top Offer 0.50 9.00 7.50 YES LOST (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00)
17-Apr Redcar Grandad’s World 0.50 13.00 11.00 YES PLACED £ 10.00 £ 7.50 £ 7.83
18-Apr Newmarket Salouen 1.00 2.88 2.88 NO LOST (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00)
18-Apr Southwell Sugarloaf Mountain 1.00 2.88 3.25 NO LOST (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00)
19-Apr Newmarket Mont Kiara 0.50 9.00 6.00 YES LOST (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00)
19-Apr Beverley Manangatang 1.00 4.00 3.25 NO LOST (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00)
19-Apr Beverley Cabal 0.50 13.00 9.00 YES PLACED £ 7.00 £ 3.00 £ 8.78
20-Apr Ripon Magical Effect 0.50 8.00 8.00 YES WON-EW £ 43.75 £ 43.75 £ 32.92
20-Apr Lingfield Glorious Rocket 0.50 11.00 9.00 YES LOST (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00)
20-Apr Newmarket Rock n Roll Global 0.50 17.00 8.50 YES LOST (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00)
20-Apr Ripon Quatrieme Ami 0.50 10.00 5.50 YES LOST (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00)
21-Apr Newbury Omran 0.50 7.50 9.50 YES LOST (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00)
21-Apr Bath Iseemist 0.50 13.00 11.00 YES LOST (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00)
21-Apr Bath Super Julius 0.50 8.50 11.00 YES LOST (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00)
22-Apr Thirsk Classic Pursuit 0.50 8.00 10.00 YES LOST (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00)
22-Apr Newbury Barney Roy 1.00 4.50 4.50 NO WON £ 35.00 £ 35.00 £ 24.99
22-Apr Newbury Sir Roderic 0.50 29.00 26.00 YES LOST (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00)
22-Apr Ayr Vintage Clouds 0.50 17.00 17.00 YES LOST (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00)
22-Apr Newbury Really Super 0.50 11.00 8.00 YES LOST (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00)
22-Apr Newbury Under Attack 0.50 13.00 9.50 YES LOST (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00)
22-Apr Nottingham Wannabe Friends 0.50 11.00 9.00 YES PLACED £ 7.50 £ 5.00 (£ 0.25)
22-Apr Wolverhampton Al Zaman 1.00 1.80 1.73 NO WON £ 8.00 £ 7.30 £ 5.80
24-Apr Kempton Epsom Secret 0.50 9.00 9.00 YES PLACED £ 3.00 £ 3.00 £ 8.30
24-Apr Kempton Chelsea’s Boy 0.50 5.00 4.50 YES LOST (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00)
24-Apr Windsor Rio Ronaldo 0.50 6.50 5.00 YES LOST (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00)
24-Apr Navan Act Of Valour 0.50 9.00 9.00 YES PLACED £ 3.00 £ 3.00 £ 18.75
25-Apr Yarmouth Flying Fantasy 0.50 7.00 6.00 YES LOST (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00)
25-Apr Wolverhampton Faintly 0.50 15.00 12.00 YES LOST (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00)
26-Apr Catterick Star Glitter 0.50 5.00 3.50 YES LOST (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00)
26-Apr Epsom Brorocco 0.50 9.00 6.50 YES WON-EW £ 48.00 £ 33.00 £ 43.18
26-Apr Epsom Gawdawpalin 0.50 9.00 8.00 YES PLACED £ 3.00 £ 2.00 £ 2.41
26-Apr Catterick Ballymore Castle 0.50 6.00 4.00 YES LOST (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00)
26-Apr Catterick Marsarzain 0.50 13.00 9.00 YES PLACED £ 10.00 £ 5.00 £ 1.84
26-Apr Lingfield Takatul 0.50 4.33 4.33 YES WON-EW £ 20.81 £ 20.81 £ 17.29
27-Apr Beverley Fleetfoot Jack 1.00 4.50 3.75 NO LOST (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00)
27-Apr Punchestown Le Vegabond 0.50 7.00 6.00 YES LOST (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00)
27-Apr Chelmsford Surround Sound 0.50 8.00 7.50 YES LOST (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00)
27-Apr Chelmsford Plucky Dip 0.50 10.00 13.00 YES LOST (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00)
27-Apr Chelmsford Shaiyem 1.00 2.88 2.62 NO LOST (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00)
27-Apr Chelmsford Tee It Up Tommo 0.50 21.00 21.00 YES LOST (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00)
28-Apr Doncaster Eldritch 1.00 4.33 2.88 NO WON £ 33.30 £ 18.80 £ 18.91
28-Apr Sandown Atty Persse 1.00 4.00 2.50 NO WON £ 30.00 £ 15.00 £ 16.63
28-Apr Doncaster Tadaawol 0.50 5.00 3.25 YES PLACED £ 0.00 (£ 2.19) (£ 2.29)
28-Apr Doncaster Laughton 0.50 6.00 5.00 YES LOST (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00)
28-Apr Doncaster Fire Jet 1.00 4.00 2.38 NO LOST (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00)
29-Apr Haydock Afjaan 1.00 4.50 4.33 NO WON £ 35.00 £ 33.30 £ 32.30
29-Apr Ripon Two For Two 0.50 12.00 10.00 YES PLACED £ 8.75 £ 6.25 £ 5.45
29-Apr Ripon George Bowen 0.50 9.00 9.00 YES LOST (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00)
29-Apr Leicester Favourite Royal 0.50 7.00 5.00 YES LOST (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00)
29-Apr Doncaster Desert Ruler 0.50 6.00 4.50 YES PLACED £ 1.25 (£ 0.63) (£ 0.25)
29-Apr Wolverhampton Inshaa 0.50 7.00 7.00 YES PLACED £ 1.00 £ 1.00 £ 3.08
29-Apr Wolverhampton I Can’t Stop 0.50 26.00 19.00 YES LOST (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00)
29-Apr Wolverhampton Three Majors 0.50 7.50 6.50 YES LOST (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00)
30-Apr Salisbury Haulani 0.50 9.00 7.00 YES LOST (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00)
30-Apr Salisbury Great and Small 0.50 9.00 8.00 YES LOST (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00)
01-May Bath Kingstreet Lady 0.50 11.00 10.00 YES WON-EW £ 62.50 £ 56.25 £ 53.39
01-May Beverley Green Howard 0.50 8.00 10.00 YES LOST (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00)
01-May Beverley Dubai Dynamo 0.50 13.00 13.00 YES LOST (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00)
02-May Yarmouth Taurean Star 0.50 4.00 5.00 YES WON-EW £ 18.00 £ 24.00 £ 25.22
02-May Brighton Corporal Maddox 0.50 12.00 11.00 YES LOST (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00)
02-May Nottingham On Fire 1.00 3.50 3.00 NO WON-EW £ 25.00 £ 20.00 £ 26.22
02-May Chelmsford Paddy A 0.50 5.50 4.00 YES WON-EW £ 27.00 £ 18.00 £ 21.85
02-May Chelmsford Noble Gift 0.50 5.50 4.33 YES WON-EW £ 28.13 £ 20.81 £ 12.97
02-May Chelmsford Classic Pursuit 0.50 9.00 5.00 YES WON-EW £ 50.00 £ 25.00 £ 12.11
03-May Ascot Matravers 0.50 34.00 17.00 YES LOST (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00)
03-May Ascot Directorship 0.50 15.00 13.00 YES PLACED £ 9.00 £ 7.00 £ 8.25
03-May Yarmouth Flying Fantasy 1.00 4.50 3.50 NO LOST (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00)
04-May Redcar Teodoro 0.50 6.50 4.50 YES WON-EW £ 33.00 £ 21.00 £ 21.80
04-May Lingfield Family Fortunes 0.50 7.00 6.00 YES PLACED £ 1.00 £ 0.00 £ 6.12
04-May Lingfield Pearly Prince 0.50 5.50 4.50 YES LOST (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00)
05-May Musselburgh Seduce Me 0.50 10.00 7.00 YES LOST (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00)
05-May Lingfield Vimy Ridge 0.50 12.00 6.50 YES LOST (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00)
06-May Newmarket Washington D.C 0.50 10.00 9.00 YES PLACED £ 4.00 £ 3.00 (£ 0.16)
06-May Goodwood Lightning Charlie 0.50 8.00 8.00 YES LOST (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00)
06-May Goodwood The Warrior 0.50 17.00 15.00 YES PLACED £ 11.00 £ 9.00 £ 6.40
06-May Goodwood Vibrant Chords 1.00 3.50 3.75 NO WON £ 25.00 £ 27.50 £ 53.68
06-May Newmarket Barney Roy 0.50 5.50 5.00 YES PLACED (£ 0.50) (£ 1.00) (£ 1.91)
06-May Thirsk Lat Hawill 0.50 9.00 8.50 YES LOST (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00)
06-May Thirsk God Willing 0.50 21.00 19.00 YES LOST (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00)
06-May Goodwood Road To Dubai 0.50 7.50 6.50 YES WON-EW £ 40.63 £ 34.38 £ 47.26
06-May Doncaster Russian Realm 0.50 26.00 21.00 YES LOST (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00)
07-May Newmarket Banditry 0.50 12.00 13.00 YES LOST (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00)
07-May Newmarket Horseplay 1.00 4.50 6.00 NO WON £ 35.00 £ 50.00 £ 62.89
07-May Newmarket Mister Manduro 1.00 3.75 3.25 NO LOST (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00)
08-May Chelmsford Velvet Revolution 1.00 2.50 2.00 NO LOST (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00) (£ 10.00)

You can review the complete results spreadsheet by clicking here.

Summary

Month #2 really was poor so it was a relief to get back on track this time: even if it did involve waiting until the end of the period for one truly magical day.

Still, we are in no position to celebrate with two of our three betting banks remaining in the red.

I had expected more from this service so I’m going to extend the trial to 400 bets. Hopefully, that will be long enough for it to show its true capabilities.

I’ll be back when I get to my revised finishing line. Wish me luck!

Meanwhile, you can find out more about DG Tips over here.

Lucy

ps Why not get a copy of my free PDF on making £1000 a month from betting? It’s easy to understand, even if you’re a novice, and you can get free copy now just by clicking here!

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