Little Acorns – Live Trial

Posted by on June 25, 2012

Hello there, my name is Roberto, and Lucy has asked me to carry out a trial of Little Acorns.   (See also Lucy’s introduction to Little Acorns).

So I thought I would start by giving you my first impressions …….

Little Acorns

Little Acorns

The system is simple.   There are  some odd parameters and one filter (plus one optional).   It’s all clearly explained, it’s not time consuming, 15-25 minutes are enough for the selection process, and the liabilities are low, because we are laying odds on favourites.

There are 3 suggested staking plans, 2 of which are more aggressive and the third being very low risk.   I will start the trial with the low risk one, at 20 euros per bet, as it’s particularly suitable for beginners.   The other two may cause some stress if  facing a losing run, this is my only concern about this system.

I will use Betangel and its automation tool to place bets without the need to stay in front of my PC.   In the morning, I will make the selection process, adding the potential selections to Betangel‘s watchlist (the “guardian”)…. and in the afternoon the software will do all the work for me!

Obviously, if you prefer, it can all be done manually also. :-)

OK I will now start placing bets using the system, and record my progress as comments below.    Feel free to comment or ask questions and I will do my best to answer (or ask Lucy to do so!).

Ciao :)

Roberto.

169 Responses to Little Acorns – Live Trial

  1. Lucy

    Yes, I think the staking plans will be the main source of interest here Roberto. However, I must say low-liability laying does have a lot of appeal, so I am very excited to see how we get on.

    Also very impressed by your use of BetAngel… very professional!

    Lx

  2. ROBERTO

    hi! yesterday’s results:
    2 selections 1 win 1 loss profit 2.40 euros
    starting bank 400 euros
    staking plan “C” (20 euros level stakes)

  3. ROBERTO

    yesterday no selections
    starting bank 400 E
    current bank 402.40 E
    P/L 2.40 E
    see you tomorrow:-)

  4. ROBERTO

    yesterday’s results
    1 selection 1W
    profit 19 E (after betfair commission)
    starting bank 400E
    current bank 421.40E
    P/L 21.4
    goodbye till tomorow:-)

    • Lucy

      Nice start Roberto! My trials always seem to start with a loss!

      And congratulations on last night’s victory, and good luck for Sunday…

      Lucy xx

  5. ROBERTO

    yesterday 2 selections 2W
    profit 38E
    current bank 459.40E
    P/L 59.40E
    bye:-)

  6. ROBERTO

    no selections yesterday..

  7. gooner

    hiya roberto good to see your having a positive start. rather coincidentally i have also been trialing this system but with me being a football mainac i decided to try and apply this strategy to football.

    ive been having great success thus far with my longest losing run being 4. whats great about applying this to football is that if the pre game favorite is losing by 1 goal going into 65 – 80 mins traders start to panic and jump on the draw/dog resulting in the favorites odds to sky rocket making it possible to close out the trade with a nice return without having to wait for the final whistle, which is always a good idea as a massive majority of teams especially home favorites tend to find there urgency in the last 15 minutes.

  8. ROBERTO

    yes..also i think that in the early rounds of tennis minor tournaments the progressive staking could be profitable without danger of losing the entire bank..for now we are trialing at level stakes, a very good start but sooner or later there will be some losing bet..the important is the long term strike rate

    • gooner

      this is the first system in which i have used a lose recovery staking method, its worked for me so far but after reading some horror stories recently im wondering if it is worth it !

  9. ROBERTO

    hi..yesterday 1 selection 1L
    profit -18E
    current bank 441.40
    P/L 41.40

  10. ROBERTO

    hi gooner..i like the way the author of this system explains the various staking plans..i think that doing exactly what he says in the manual ( start small etc. etc.) there should not be too much problems, also with the more aggressive staking plans, because we are laying odds on favourites..

  11. ROBERTO

    2 selections yesterday 1L 1W
    profit 7E
    starting bank 400E
    current bank 448.40
    P/L 48.40E

  12. ROBERTO

    hi:-) no selections yesterday

  13. ROBERTO

    1selection 1W yesterday
    profit 19E
    current bank 467.40
    P/L 67.40E
    bye :-)

    • Lucy

      Roberto

      It’s all going very well so far – plus your trial is getting a lot of traffic, so you’re in the public eye!

      One quick question – how long does it take you to find the selections each day?

      regards

      Lucy

  14. ROBERTO

    hi lucy! now no more than 15 minutes, there are usually 4-5 potential selections each day, that i add to the bet angel watchlist..after that i set up the software to look at the odds parameters in the last 15 minutes before the start, at this time some of the morning selections can be out of range,but almost every day there is at least a bet placed..ps today another winning lay!
    regards:-)

  15. ROBERTO

    hi..1 selection 1W yesterday
    profit 19E
    current bank 486.40E
    P/L 86.40E

  16. ROBERTO

    no selections yesterday..10 bets from the beginning of the review, 7W 3L..a fantastic strike rate till now (70%)!

  17. ROBERTO

    saturday 7/7 results: 2 selections,2W
    profit 38E
    current bank 524.40E
    P/L 124.40

    • Lucy

      So that’s 9 winners and 3 losses, and a strike rate of 75%??

      Great start – maybe you can be my lucky charm Roberto xxx ;-)

  18. ROBERTO

    thank you Lucy:-) this system is in a very positive trend…or maybe i’m very lucky! or both..but i will consider this system very good also with a strike rate about 55% in the long run..
    ps no selections yesterday
    bye:-)

  19. ROBERTO

    no selections yesterday
    today 1selection 1W
    profit 19E
    current bank 543.40E
    P/L 143.40E

  20. ROBERTO

    today’s results: 3 selections 1L 2W
    profit 24.60E
    starting bank 400E
    current bank 568E
    P/L 168E
    bye:-)

  21. ROBERTO

    no selections yesterday

  22. ROBERTO

    friday 1 selection 1L
    profit -12.8E
    current bank 555.20E
    P/L 155.20E

  23. David Denholm

    Hi Roberto, Yesterday was the first day of me on the system and my results were 1 selection 1 win. I do not use the extra postdata criteria and I had to wait until just before the off whilst my selection dipped to the required price are you willing to share your selection from yesterday and why it was a qualifier? (possiblbly it became one just before the off) Thanks David

  24. ROBERTO

    hi david! the selection was Miss You Too ( york 14:05)..i don’t bet manually, i use the bet angel automation..i add the potential selections (up to 2.5) in the morning..after this the software will automatically place a bet if in the last 15 minutes the prices are in the range indicated by the system..i don’t use the optional filter (like you). probably your selection was’nt in my watchlist.
    regards

  25. ROBERTO

    no selections today..

  26. ROBERTO

    no selections today too..

  27. ROBERTO

    1 selection 1L yesterday
    profit -16.2E
    current bank 539E
    P/L 139E
    bye:-)

  28. ROBERTO

    18 selections, 12W 6L so far..

    • Lucy

      Thanks Roberto… I still think you’re my lucky charm. I’d be surprised if we maintain our current strike rate.

      Lx

  29. ROBERTO

    today 1 selection 1L
    profit -20E
    current bank 519E
    P/L 119E

  30. ROBERTO

    2 selections 2L yesterday
    profit -34.40E
    current bank 484.6
    P/L 84.6

  31. ROBERTO

    no selections on friday

  32. ROBERTO

    saturday 1 selection 1W
    profit 19E
    current bank 503.6
    P/L 103.6E

  33. ROBERTO

    1 selection 1W sunday
    profit 19E
    current bank 522.6
    P/L 122.6E

  34. ROBERTO

    hi..3 selections 2L 1W in the last 2 days
    profit -13.80E
    current bank 508.80E
    P/L 108.80E
    bye

  35. ROBERTO

    hi..1 selection 1 W yesterday
    profit 19E
    current bank 527.80
    starting bank 400E
    P/L 127.80
    27 selections 16 W 11 L so far

    • Lucy

      Roberto

      Still going much better than I expected at level stakes!

      Lx

  36. ROBERTO

    yes Lucy..unfortunately today 1 selection 1L, but still a good strike rate:-)
    profit -19.80
    current bank 508E
    P/L 108E
    bye..

  37. ROBERTO

    1 selection 1 W saturday
    profit 19E
    current bank 527E
    P/L 127E

  38. ROBERTO

    1selection 1 L sunday
    profit -20E
    current bank 507E
    P/L 107E
    30 selections so far, 17 W 13 L
    bye:-)

  39. ROBERTO

    yesterday 1 selection 1L
    profit -19E
    current bank 487E
    P/L 87E

  40. ROBERTO

    1 selection 1 L yesterday
    profit -14.8E
    current bank 472.2E
    P/L 72.2E
    32 selections so far, 17W 15L (53% strike rate)
    after the first month of trial i can say that the system is working like is outlined in the guide..around 2-5 points profit every month at level stakes, aiming for a 10% of the bank and rolling over profits each month..for this reason from today the stake will be 23.61 euros (1/20 of the new bank, 472.2E)
    bye:-)

    • Lucy

      This is a very interesting trial Roberto. Steady progress always appeals… thanks for running it for us.

      Lx

  41. ROBERTO

    hi everyone:-)
    1 selection 1W yesterday
    profit 22.3E
    current bank 494.5E
    P/L 94.5

  42. ROBERTO

    no selections yesterday..luckily, because the 2 potential lays drifted out the odds parameters in the last 30 minutes and then both won their races!
    bye:-)

  43. ROBERTO

    no selections in the last 2 days..

  44. ROBERTO

    no selections on sunday and monday, too.. only one bet in august so far

  45. jk

    I have a very similar system that i purchased two years ago, and i did not realize it was identical, and to be honest i paid half the amount.But still paid for it none the less.My results are virtually the same and yes it was a close call between little acorns and my system regards the level stakes performance, june was just over 7points profit, and july 4.95,and so far for myself this month….4losses and 4 winning bets,and a 1.16 points profit to level stakes.Interesting to see how they both do side by side.

  46. ROBERTO

    hi..1 selection 1W today
    profit 22.3
    current bank 516.8
    P/L 116.8

  47. jk

    Its not a busy thread i know, but this system may have a few edges that can be brought into play,there could well be more selections based on putting orders in below the asking odds and if it gets taken in play so be it,you will have your value and you can pick the average lay price as the requested price.I will report back if it looks like a profitable adaption.

  48. ROBERTO

    hi! another winning selection today:-)
    profit 22.30E
    current bank 539.10
    P/L 139.10

  49. jk

    Hi again,
    i do believe live betting this system will produce more selections due to the none runner rules and odds drop in the event of, and i think its the reason why ive had more selections that the official trial,but i carnt believe there is so little interest in this.especially on this thread. oh well,happy punting.

  50. jk

    ps, just take on board this for a minute folks……you only need 42% wins or lay wins to break even with this system,and thats taking into account adding 12.5% to the sp standard bookie price with racing post sp prices.which means if you asked for a price in line with sp and not betfair before the off,you would more than likely get that price in running anyway, as the favs do tend to run well in the early stages anyhow and punters are scrambeling to get in on lower odds, hence asking for an equal standard sp price is not out the question.That on its own puts you in profit at 42% strike rate, and thats taking into account the betfairs commission of 5% on the lay winners.
    Now if you hit anything like 45/50% its looking good guys.Do the maths,Ive averaged lay prices over june of 1.71 so its looking very good at mo.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

*

You may use these HTML tags and attributes: <a href="" title=""> <abbr title=""> <acronym title=""> <b> <blockquote cite=""> <cite> <code> <del datetime=""> <em> <i> <q cite=""> <strike> <strong>