I have been meaning to review False Favourites for a while, partly as I’ve heard a few good things about it, and partly because it’s been around for a long, long time – which invariably means it’s at least worth a look.
I also happen to be a huge fan of laying, as the high strike rates make for a comfortable ride. See my Lay Lucy Lay thread for the story of my own very public (and thankfully pretty successful!) attempt at a free laying service. (The final review is here).
Anyway, I’ve finally downloaded False Favourites. And it’s enormous. A 232 page monster to be exact! Which, I must admit, is a bit daunting….
…but still, when I start reading, I find that I can skip quite a lot. Because yes, it does have the obligatory introduction to Betfair, plus an awful lot of stuff about emotion and discipline and not betting if you’re short of time…. all of which is very commendable, but does feel a bit like padding, especially when you’ve bought a new system and just want to get on with it!!
Anyway, to business. What are my first impressions?
Well, to start with, you can’t really call this a system as such. That is, it does not describe a mechanistic process for ‘how to make money laying horses’. Instead, it’s more of a guide to the way you might study the Racing Post to identify possible losers – the False Favourites of which the title speaks.
I’m not quite sure how I feel about this. The sales page calls False Favourites “the ultimate laying system”, but it’s definitely more of a Guide: a very comprehensive one, but still a Guide. It might even be the Ultimate Guide To Lay Betting (only time will tell on that one), but it certainly is going to be tricky to test False Favourites in the same way I test everything else. The reason being that the results I get will almost certainly not be the same as the results someone else would get using the same guide and betting on the same races.
On the plus side, the thing I like most on first reading is that False Favourites is almost certainly bound to make you a better bettor (sorry about that, couldn’t resist). It draws heavily on the Racing Post website, but manages to avoid requiring you to access the paid-for bits… so you don’t need to incur any additional costs in order to benefit.
Somewhat unexpectedly, there is also a long section exploring how the Betfair markets work in the hours before the off, which may well be worth the price of the guide on its own. Being able to understand what moves markets is a valuable skill, so I intend to be trialling some of the advice here too. Whenever I find I can lock in a profit (and can get on to a PC to do so), I will trade out prior to race time.
This means the guide can be considered a tool for both layers and traders.
I will start laying over the next two days ( Thursday 12th and Friday 13th April). It might take me till Friday to get through the manual… it really is too long (and I say that as someone who produced a 54 page tome recently!). Stakes to be £10 a point, against a bank of £1000. The highest liability I’m allowed to lay at is 4.7, so I will only be exposing a maximum of 3.7 points per selection.
Wish me luck!